Housing Market Avoids Oil Fallout
Monday, February 2nd, 2015
Housing prices have been resistant to economic decline
In the face of economic downturn there are still expectations that Canadian home prices will continue to rise. It is being reported that while the growth may slow understandably, there is no foreseeable slump in the any of the major real estate markets of Canada.
Despite plummeting oil prices a predicted nationwide appreciation of 2.9 % can be expected on 2015 residential sale prices. The major centers of Toronto and Vancouver are predicted to see increases of as much as 4.5% and 2.8% respectively.
2014 saw prices surpass historical averages; residential detached bungalows rose about 6.7% throughout the nation. Edmonton’s condo market saw the largest nationwide increase at 12.2%, contrasted with the cross-country average of 4.5%.
ATB Financial Chief Economist Todd Hirsch comments on the predictability of the oil markets:
“This happens over and over. In fact, in 2009, we saw a similar price plunge like this and it was quite short-lived and things rebounded…I don’t think we should worry too much because I think it will be quite temporary.”
Alberta in particular has prosperous industry to fall back on, such as agriculture and forestry, which have the potential to thrive in low oil price conditions. Additionally, as reported by the Calgary Herald, Alberta saw a “50 per cent increase in meat product exports last year along with growth in the aerospace, farming and chemicals sectors.”
Pierre Cleroux, Chief Economist with the Business Development Bank of Canada reasons
“Oil of course is the No. 1 export product from Alberta but we often forget that Alberta is also a diversified economy. There’s other sectors that are doing well.”
The real estate market outlook is optimistic due to other economic factors like labour market trends and a continuing surge in demand from homebuyers. At this point the multitude of positive aspects continue to outweigh the decline seen by a deteriorating oil market.
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